Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#113
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#96
Pace75.3#46
Improvement+2.8#67

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#113
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.1#193

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#113
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.9#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.7% n/a n/a
Second Round10.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 339   @ Longwood W 74-61 91%     1 - 0 +1.9 -5.5 -5.5
  Nov 22, 2017 56   @ Mississippi St. L 75-80 22%     1 - 1 +7.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2017 342   Florida A&M W 79-63 97%     2 - 1 -1.9 -9.0 -9.0
  Nov 28, 2017 172   North Dakota St. W 54-50 76%     3 - 1 +0.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 02, 2017 217   Louisiana Monroe W 68-65 83%     4 - 1 -3.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 06, 2017 160   @ Louisiana Tech W 85-83 52%     5 - 1 +5.5 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 09, 2017 295   Rice W 81-62 91%     6 - 1 +8.1 -5.5 -5.5
  Dec 16, 2017 59   @ LSU W 83-82 23%     7 - 1 +12.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 19, 2017 40   @ Missouri L 81-82 18%     7 - 2 +12.9 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 28, 2017 187   @ SE Louisiana L 62-73 60%     7 - 3 0 - 1 -9.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2018 189   Nicholls St. W 81-64 80%     8 - 3 1 - 1 +12.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Jan 06, 2018 344   @ Northwestern St. W 64-56 93%     9 - 3 2 - 1 -4.4 -6.2 -6.2
  Jan 10, 2018 265   New Orleans W 78-68 89%     10 - 3 3 - 1 +0.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 13, 2018 341   Incarnate Word W 83-63 97%     11 - 3 4 - 1 +2.1 -9.0 -9.0
  Jan 17, 2018 268   @ Abilene Christian W 76-66 76%     12 - 3 5 - 1 +6.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 24, 2018 214   @ Central Arkansas L 92-100 66%     12 - 4 5 - 2 -8.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2018 219   Sam Houston St. W 82-66 83%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +9.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Jan 31, 2018 334   Houston Baptist W 102-82 96%     14 - 4 7 - 2 +3.7 -8.2 -8.2
  Feb 03, 2018 216   @ Lamar L 54-76 66%     14 - 5 7 - 3 -22.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 08, 2018 304   @ McNeese St. W 99-95 82%     15 - 5 8 - 3 -1.6 -2.8 -2.8
  Feb 10, 2018 344   Northwestern St. W 97-50 97%     16 - 5 9 - 3 +28.5 -9.2 -9.2
  Feb 14, 2018 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 87-68 82%     17 - 5 10 - 3 +13.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 17, 2018 341   @ Incarnate Word W 81-70 92%     18 - 5 11 - 3 -0.9 -5.9 -5.9
  Feb 21, 2018 214   Central Arkansas W 97-62 83%     19 - 5 12 - 3 +28.9 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 24, 2018 216   Lamar L 66-71 83%     19 - 6 12 - 4 -11.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 28, 2018 268   Abilene Christian W 76-56 89%     20 - 6 13 - 4 +10.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Mar 03, 2018 219   @ Sam Houston St. W 65-53 66%     21 - 6 14 - 4 +11.7 -0.2 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2018 214   Central Arkansas W 86-64 75%     22 - 6 +18.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Mar 09, 2018 189   Nicholls St. W 78-66 71%     23 - 6 +10.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Mar 10, 2018 187   SE Louisiana W 59-55 71%     24 - 6 +2.4 -0.8 -0.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 97.7% 97.7% 14.3 4.9 61.9 30.2 0.6 2.3
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.7% 97.7% 0.0% 14.3 4.9 61.9 30.2 0.6 2.3 0.0%